Accuracy45%vs. 67% always picking the favourite
Resolved60 / 380fixtures scored so far
Avg log loss1.051lower is better
Avg Brier score0.211lower is better
// Cumulative accuracy this season
Model, cumulativeAlways pick the favourite (67%)
// Calibration
// Confidence spread
34%–40%
40%–50%
50%–60%
60%–70%
70%–80%
80%–90%
90%–100%
How confident the model is across every tracked fixture (not just resolved ones).
// Who the model favours
68%
32%
Home favourite (257)Draw favourite (0)Away favourite (123)
// Recent results
✗
CoventryvNewcastle
4-1called 1.0-1.0
Mon 12 Oct✗
HullvEverton
2-2called 1.0-1.0
Sun 11 Oct✓
Crystal PalacevNott'm Forest
3-1called 1.0-1.0
Sun 11 Oct✓
LiverpoolvMan City
0-3called 1.0-1.0
Sun 11 Oct✗
IpswichvFulham
2-1called 1.0-1.0
Sat 10 Oct✗
Aston VillavBrentford
2-2called 1.0-1.0
Sat 10 Oct✓
ChelseavBournemouth
5-1called 1.0-1.0
Sat 10 Oct✓
ArsenalvLeeds
2-1called 2.0-0.0
Sat 10 Oct✓
SunderlandvBrighton
0-2called 1.0-1.0
Sat 10 Oct✗
Man UnitedvTottenham
1-1called 1.0-1.0
Sat 10 Oct✓
BournemouthvLiverpool
0-1called 1.0-1.0
Sun 20 Sept✓
Man CityvSunderland
5-3called 2.0-0.0
Sun 20 Sept✗
FulhamvMan United
1-1called 1.0-1.0
Sun 20 Sept✗
LeedsvCrystal Palace
0-0called 1.0-1.0
Sun 20 Sept✗
TottenhamvAston Villa
2-3called 1.0-1.0
Sat 19 Sept✓
NewcastlevHull
2-1called 1.0-0.0
Sat 19 Sept✓
EvertonvIpswich
1-0called 1.0-0.0
Sat 19 Sept✗
BrightonvArsenal
3-0called 1.0-1.0
Sat 19 Sept✗
Nott'm ForestvCoventry
0-1called 2.0-0.0
Sat 19 Sept✗
BrentfordvChelsea
3-0called 1.0-1.0
Fri 18 Sept