Accuracy50%vs. 71% always picking the favourite
Resolved18 / 380fixtures scored so far
Avg log loss1.034lower is better
Avg Brier score0.206lower is better
// Cumulative accuracy this season
Model, cumulativeAlways pick the favourite (71%)
// Calibration
// Confidence spread
34%–40%
40%–50%
50%–60%
60%–70%
70%–80%
80%–90%
90%–100%
How confident the model is across every tracked fixture (not just resolved ones).
// Who the model favours
71%
29%
Home favourite (269)Draw favourite (0)Away favourite (111)
// Recent results
✗
LeedsvBrentford
1-1called 1.0-1.0
Sun 30 Aug✓
ChelseavBrighton
4-3called 1.0-1.0
Sun 30 Aug✓
SunderlandvFulham
1-0called 1.0-1.0
Sun 30 Aug✗
CoventryvHull
0-1called 1.0-1.0
Sat 29 Aug✗
LiverpoolvNott'm Forest
2-2called 1.0-1.0
Sat 29 Aug✗
BournemouthvEverton
1-1called 1.0-1.0
Sat 29 Aug✗
TottenhamvNewcastle
0-2called 1.0-1.0
Sat 29 Aug✓
Crystal PalacevMan City
1-4called 1.0-1.0
Fri 28 Aug✓
FulhamvChelsea
2-3called 1.0-1.0
Mon 24 Aug✓
Man CityvBournemouth
2-1called 2.0-1.0
Sun 23 Aug✓
BrightonvAston Villa
4-0called 1.0-1.0
Sun 23 Aug✗
NewcastlevLiverpool
2-2called 1.0-1.0
Sun 23 Aug✗
IpswichvSunderland
2-1called 1.0-1.0
Sat 22 Aug✗
HullvMan United
2-0called 0.0-2.0
Sat 22 Aug✗
Nott'm ForestvLeeds
0-1called 1.0-1.0
Sat 22 Aug✓
EvertonvCrystal Palace
2-0called 1.0-1.0
Sat 22 Aug✓
BrentfordvTottenham
3-0called 1.0-1.0
Sat 22 Aug✓
ArsenalvCoventry
3-0called 2.0-0.0
Fri 21 Aug